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Publications

The risk of global Ebola virus spread is low: epidemiology of Ebola disease cases outside Africa, 1976 to May 2026.
VAN ZANDVOORT, K; PROCTER, SR; AZAM, JM; Sherratt, K; DAVIES, NG;
2026
Euro Surveill, (2026).31 24 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2026.31.24.2600508.
Waning protection of long-acting RSV monoclonal antibodies in infants: a Bayesian analysis of clesrovimab and nirsevimab trial data.
Gong, D; FLASCHE, S; Hodgson, D;
2026
medRxiv (2026). 10.64898/2026.06.15.26355703.
Projected population level impact and cost-effectiveness of clinic and community-based tuberculosis screening approaches.
MCCREESH, N; KHAN, P; Yoon, I; GOVENDER, I; Sithole, M; HOUBEN, RM G J; WHITE, R; GRANT, A; SWEENEY, S;
2026
medRxiv (2026). 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355416.
Key challenges faced when modelling flood risks to maternal and child health systems in Zambia and Brazil.
FOSS, A;
2026
(2026).
The role of interferon-gamma release assays in tuberculosis vaccine trials: strengths, limitations, and implications beyond trial design.
Dagnew, AF; Schmidt, AC; Cinar, A; Garcia-Basteiro, AL; Noble, R; Pelzer, PT; Churchyard, GJ; Hatherill, M; WHITE, RG; Cobelens, F;
2026
Vaccine, (2026).88, 10.1016/j.vaccine.2026.128822.
nicholasdavies/transposons: Code and data for "Host suppression prevents a molecular tragedy of the commons in transposon evolution".
DAVIES, NG;
2026
, Zenodo (2026).
Identifying drivers of antibiotic resistance: Mathematical model of One Health interventions spotlights transmission and environmental pathways.
KNIGHT, GM; Booton, RD; Robotham, JV; Aluzaite, K; Belay, D; Guitian, J; Dione, M; Emes, E;
2026
One Earth, (2026).9 6 10.1016/j.oneear.2026.101718.
Within-household transmission risk of pulmonary tuberculosis in the era of universal antiretroviral therapy.
KHAN, P; GOVENDER, I; McCreesh, N; Sithole, M; Mkwanazi, E; SWEENEY, S; Ording-Jespersen, G; Wong, E; Hanekom, W; HOUBEN, RM G J; White, R; Smit, T; Smith, M; FIELDING, K; GRANT, A;
2026
medRxiv (2026). 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354571.
cmmid/ebola-importation.
DAVIES, NG;
2026
, Github (2026).
Inclusion of young adolescents in policy development for new tuberculosis vaccines.
Hatherill, M; CLARK, RA; Martinez, L; Fiore-Gartland, AL; Garcia-Basteiro, AL; Churchyard, GJ; Rangaka, MX; Behr, MA; Evans, T; Mave, V; Hill, PC; Hanekom, WA; Cobelens, F; WHITE, RG; Pediatric TB Contact Studies Consortium,;
2026
The Lancet. Global health, (2026).14 6 10.1016/S2214-109X(26)00017-3.