Publications

Disentangling the drivers of heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission from data on viral load and daily contact rates.

Quilty, BJ; Chapman, LA C; Munday, JD; Wong, KL M; Gimma, A; Pickering, S; Neil, S; Galao, RP; EDMUNDS, WJ; Jarvis, CI; KUCHARSKI, AJ;

2026

PLoS computational biology, (2026).22 8 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014715.

Mucosal IgA to pre-fusion F protein predicts protection from RSV infection in a high burden setting.

Hodgson, D; JARJU, S; Gatcombe, L; Francis, S; Coleman, T; Dowgier, G; Wenlock, RD; Lindsey, BB; Danso, M; Barratt, N; Gomes, M; Grouneva, I; JAGNE, YJ; KAMPMANN, B; Wu, MY; Otter, A; FLASCHE, S; KUCHARSKI, A; De Silva, TI;

2026

Nature communications, (2026).17 1 10.1038/s41467-026-77315-4.

Comparing the potential impacts of seasonal immunisation against year-round immunisation to prevent RSV infant hospitalisations in Japan: A modelling study.

MONOI, A; Endo, A; Kriznar, M; Suzuki, M; FLASCHE, S;

2026

Vaccine, (2026).91, 10.1016/j.vaccine.2026.129079.

Bridging Stakeholder Knowledge, Surveys, and Agents: A Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) Foundation for Empirical Agent-Based Modelling.

Simona, S; Bonnet, G; Megiddo, I; Clercq-roques, R; Debele, S; Strelkovskii, N; ISMAIL, S; Semwanga, A; Silva, EN D; Chama-Chiliba, C; Borghi, J; FOSS, A; Alibrahim, A;

2026

https://www.conftool.pro/ssc2026/index.php?page=browseSessions&presenta… (2026).

Tuberculosis policy should shift focus to population-level interventions for greatest impact.

Horton, KC; SCHWALB, A; HARKER, MJ; Goscé, L; Venero-Garcia, E; O'Brien, L; Gun, A; Sumner, T; MCQUAID, CF; Clark, RA; Prys-Jones, TO; Bakker, R; Liu, YE; Kubjane, M; Lienhardt, C; WHITE, RG; HOUBEN, RM G J;

2026

Nature health (2026). 10.1038/s44360-026-00197-9.

Empirically grounding climate and spatial processes for agent-based models across diverse contexts: climate, health, and social vulnerability.

Clercq-roques, R; Simona, S; Debele, S; Bonnet, G; Strelkovskii, N; Saulnier, D; PART, C; ISMAIL, S; Semwanga, A; Silva, EN D; Chama-Chiliba, C; Borghi, J; Megiddo, I; FOSS, A; Alibrahim, A;

2026

https://www.conftool.pro/ssc2026/index.php?page=browseSessions&presenta… (2026).

The potential health and economic impact of introducing the vaccine candidate VPM1002 to prevent tuberculosis disease in low- and middle-income countries: a modelling study.

CLARK, R; Portnoy, A; Sumner, T; GRINT, D; Prŷs-Jones, T; Bakker, R; Menzies, N; WHITE, R;

2026

medRxiv (2026). 10.64898/2026.08.17.26360583.

Social contact patterns across levels of deprivation in England, and implications for infectious disease transmission.

GOODFELLOW, L; VAN LEEUWEN, E; KU, C-C; ROBERT, A; Filipe, JA N; Quilty, B; Van Zandvoort, K; EDMUNDS, J; DAVIES, N; EGGO, R;

2026

medRxiv (2026). 10.64898/2026.08.17.26360599.

Epidemiology, diagnosis and treatment of asymptomatic tuberculosis: an expert review.

Zaidi, SM A; Miller, C; Falzon, D; Coussens, AK; HOUBEN, RM G J; Esmail, H;