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Based on current trends, almost all African countries are likely to report over 1 000 COVID-19 cases by the end of April 2020, and over 10 000 a few weeks after that.
PEARSON, CA B; Van Schalkwyk, C; Foss, AM; O'Reilly, KM; Pulliam, JR C;
2020
(2020). 10.1101/2020.04.05.20054403.
thibautjombart/covid19_bed_occupancy: Second major release.
JOMBART, T; CLIFFORD, S; PEARSON, CA B P; Rees, E; NIGHTINGALE, E; PROCTER, S; KNIGHT, G;
2020
, Zenodo (2020).
epiforecasts/EpiNow.
Abbott, S; Hellewell, J; FUNK, S; CLIFFORD, S;
2020
, Zenodo (2020).
Quantifying the impact of physical distance measures on the transmission of COVID-19 in the UK.
Jarvis, CI; VAN ZANDVOORT, K; Gimma, A; Prem, K; KLEPAC, P; Rubin, GJ; EDMUNDS, WJ;
2020
medRxiv (2020). 10.1101/2020.03.31.20049023.
Invisible spread of SARS-CoV-2 - Authors' reply.
KUCHARSKI, AJ; EGGO, RM;
2020
The Lancet. Infectious diseases, (2020).20 9 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30275-9.
Estimating number of cases and spread of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the United Kingdom using critical care admissions, February to March 2020.
JIT, M; Jombart, T; NIGHTINGALE, E; ENDO, A; Abbott, S; LSHTM Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infecti,; Edmunds, J;
2020
medRxiv (2020). 10.1101/2020.04.05.20054528.
akira-endo/COVID19_clustersize: Estimating the amount of superspreading using outbreak sizes of COVID-19 outside China.
Endo, A; Abbott, S; KUCHARSKI, AJ; FUNK, S;
2020
, Zenodo (2020).
Health and economic burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease and the cost-effectiveness of potential interventions against RSV among children under 5 years in 72 Gavi-eligible countries.
Li, X; Willem, L; Antillon, M; Bilcke, J; JIT, M; Beutels, P;
2020
BMC Medicine, (2020).18 1 10.1186/s12916-020-01537-6.
jarvisc1/comix_covid-19-first_wave.
JARVIS, C;
2020
, Zenodo (2020).
Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study.
DAVIES, NG; KUCHARSKI, AJ; EGGO, RM; Gimma, A; EDMUNDS, WJ; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectiou,;
2020
The Lancet. Public health, (2020).5 7 10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30133-X.