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Publications

Engagement and adherence trade-offs for SARS-CoV-2 contact tracing.
Lucas, TC D; Davis, EL; Ayabina, D; Borlase, A; Crellen, T; Pi, L; MEDLEY, GF; Yardley, L; KLEPAC, P; Gog, J; Déirdre Hollingsworth, T;
2021
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, (2021).376 1829 10.1098/rstb.2020.0270.
The population attributable fraction of cases due to gatherings and groups with relevance to COVID-19 mitigation strategies.
Brooks-Pollock, E; Read, JM; House, T; MEDLEY, GF; Keeling, MJ; Danon, L;
2021
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, (2021).376 1829 10.1098/rstb.2020.0273.
Segmentation and shielding of the most vulnerable members of the population as elements of an exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown.
Van Bunnik, BA D; Morgan, AL K; Bessell, PR; Calder-Gerver, G; Zhang, F; Haynes, S; Ashworth, J; Zhao, S; Cave, RN R; Perry, MR; Lepper, HC; Lu, L; Kellam, P; Sheikh, A; MEDLEY, GF; Woolhouse, ME J;
2021
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, (2021).376 1829 10.1098/rstb.2020.0275.
Optimizing time-limited non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 outbreak control.
Morgan, AL K; Woolhouse, ME J; MEDLEY, GF; Van Bunnik, BA D;
2021
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, (2021).376 1829 10.1098/rstb.2020.0282.
Using a household-structured branching process to analyse contact tracing in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.
Fyles, M; FEARON, E; Overton, C; University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group,; Wingfield, T; MEDLEY, GF; Hall, I; Pellis, L; House, T;
2021
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, (2021).376 1829 10.1098/rstb.2020.0267.
Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 dynamics using automated trend fitting and anomaly detection.
JOMBART, T; Ghozzi, S; Schumacher, D; Taylor, TJ; LECLERC, QJ; JIT, M; FLASCHE, S; Greaves, F; Ward, T; EGGO, RM; NIGHTINGALE, E; MEAKIN, S; BRADY, OJ; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Di,; MEDLEY, GF; Höhle, M; EDMUNDS, WJ;
2021
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, (2021).376 1829 10.1098/rstb.2020.0266.
Effect of evidence updates on key determinants of measles vaccination impact: a DynaMICE modelling study in ten high-burden countries.
FU, H; Abbas, K; Klepac, P; VAN ZANDVOORT, K; Tanvir, H; Portnoy, A; JIT, M;
2021
medRxiv (2021). 10.1101/2021.05.28.21257964.
CoMix: Changes in social contacts as measured by the contact survey during the COVID-19 pandemic in England between March 2020 and March 2021.
Gimma, A; MUNDAY, J; WONG, KL M; Coletti, P; VAN ZANDVOORT, K; PREM, K; CMMID COVID-19 working group,; KLEPAC, P; Rubin, J; FUNK, S; Edmunds, J; JARVIS, C;
2021
medRxiv (2021). 10.1101/2021.05.28.21257973.
Spatial connectivity in mosquito-borne disease models: a systematic review of methods and assumptions.
LEE, SA; JARVIS, CI; EDMUNDS, WJ; Economou, T; LOWE, R;
2021
Journal of The Royal Society Interface, (2021).18 178 10.1098/rsif.2021.0096.
Genomic reconstruction of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England.
Vöhringer, H; SANDERSON, T; Sinnott, M; Maio, ND; Nguyen, T; Goater, R; Schwach, F; Harrison, I; HELLEWELL, J; Ariani, C; Gonçalves, S; Jackson, D; Johnston, I; Jung, A; Saint, C; Sillitoe, J; Suciu, M; Goldman, N; Panovska-Griffiths, J; The Wellcome Sanger Institute Covid-19 Surveillanc,; The COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium,; Birney, E; Volz, E; FUNK, S; Kwiatkowski, D; ... Gerstung, M.
2021
medRxiv (2021). 10.1101/2021.05.22.21257633.