Real-time outbreak analysis

What we do

The focus of the real-time outbreak analysis theme is the use of mathematical and statistical models and data to provide real-time insights into ongoing outbreaks, such as estimating key epidemiological parameters, making short-term forecasts and evaluating intervention strategies. 

Theme members have contributed research to several outbreaks, including:

  • the COVID-19 pandemic
  • the 2018-20 Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
  • the ongoing cholera outbreak in Yemen

Research is done in collaboration with partners such as the WHO, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Médecins sans Frontières (MSF) and the UK Public Health Rapid Support Team, which is jointly run by Public Health England and LSHTM.

Theme events

Members of the theme meet on a monthly basis on the third Tuesday of the month, 14:00-15:00 UK time.

All interested are welcome to attend. Contact the theme coordinators Sophie Meakin and James Munday for details.

Papers and other outputs are shared through the CMMID Twitter feed.

Selected outputs

Real-time analysis theme members have contributed to many aspects of real-time outbreak analysis, including journal papers, data curation and software development. Below are a selection of these outputs:


Sophie Meakin

Research Fellow & Theme lead

James Munday

Research Fellow & Theme Lead