We apply a variety of models – from comparative static applications to fully integrated health-demographic-macroeconomic frameworks – to diseases, food and agriculture, the environment and industry.
Macroeconomic modelling applications often involve multi-disciplinary teams and multiple individuals with differing skillsets.
We pioneered the full integration of CGE with epidemiological and demographic models, and our work now includes applications to malaria, diet and tuberculosis.
Researchers at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine have undertaken macroeconomic modelling since 2007. Our work consists primarily of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) modelling of health, health policy or broader policy interventions which have implications for health.
Our full integration of CGE models with epidemiological and demographic models was pioneering when it was first completed (in 2013) and, to our knowledge, our integrated models (which now include applications to malaria, TB and diet) are still the only fully integrated health-demographic-CGE models.
Over the years, we have worked on or are actively researching:
- infectious disease applications including SARS and influenza, antimicrobial resistance, malaria, tuberculosis and, most recently, Covid-19
- non-communicable disease including
- Alzheimer's disease and dementia
- the implications of non-communicable diseases and related policies for agriculture, food, the environment and trade
- greenhouse gas reduction strategies with health co-benefits
- evaluations of the UK Soft Drinks Industry Levy, food taxes and food advertising
- non-disease specific macroeconomic analyses concerning healthcare financing and age-specific labour supply analyses
The models we apply vary in complexity from comparative static (single time point) health-focussed applications to dynamic fully integrated health-demographic-macroeconomic frameworks and also include models with sub-modules for analysis of nutritional, land use and greenhouse gas emissions.
Our macroeconomic modelling work is not restricted to any particular country or region. Previous country applications include:
- Asia and the Pacific: Vietnam, China, Thailand, India, Malaysia, Indonesia, Myanmar
- Europe: UK, France, Belgium, Germany, Netherlands, Poland, Turkey
- Latin America and Caribbean: Argentina, Bolivia, and Colombia
- Middle East and Northern Africa: Morocco
- Sub-Saharan Africa: Ghana, Mozambique, Tanzania
Macroeconomic modelling applications often involve multi-disciplinary teams and multiple individuals with differing skillsets have been involved in our research, in addition to our core team.
Marcus Keogh-Brown and Henning Tarp Jensen co-lead current research projects, which include: