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Professor Oliver Brady

Professor of Spatial Epidemiology

United Kingdom

My research aims to use statistical models to better understand the geographic spread of mosquito-transmitted viruses and optimise strategies for their control and spans three main areas:
1. Mapping the global distribution of dengue, chikungunya and Zika and estimating their true burden to track progress towards global targets
2. Understanding and predicting the geographic spread of dengue and Zika to design new strategies to contain the spread of pandemics
3. Developing and optimising the use of novel interventions for dengue control including real time outbreak forecasting and accelerating the adoption of novel mosquito control tools like Wolbachia.

To achieve these aims, I develop and apply advanced statistical and mechanistic models in Bayesian frameworks to high resolution climate, demographic and socioeconomic data. Key to my work is close collaboration with ministries of health and a partnership with WHO to develop strategies and guidelines that ultimately aim to contain these expanding arboviral diseases.

At LSHTM I lead the Dengue Mapping and Modelling Group, which is currently comprised of a team of 8 PhD students, post-docs and early career faculty members. Our work is supported by a range of research funders including the MRC, the Wellcome Trust, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the World Health Organization and the AXA Research Foundation. Currently i am acting co-head of department for the Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Dynamics

Affiliations

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Dynamics
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health

Centres

Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases

Teaching

I teach on MSc modules including modelling, study design, machine learning, spatial epidemiology, epidemiology of infectious diseases and integrated vector management. I also teach and organise the Introduction to Spatial Analysis in R short course.

Research

Research Area
Modelling
Vector control
GIS/Spatial analysis
Epidemiology
Disease and Health Conditions
Dengue
Zika
Yellow fever

Selected Publications

Quantifying, Understanding, and Correcting for Delays in Routine Dengue Case Reporting in the Americas.
Susong, KM; LIM, A; Joshi, K; Clarke, J; Sherratt, K; BRADY, OJ;
2026
The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene
The cost-effectiveness of Wolbachia-based biocontrol interventions for dengue: A scoping review of the available evidence.
Turner, HC; Hung, TM; BRADY, OJ; Velayudhan, R; Dorigatti, I; Clapham, HE;
2026
PLoS neglected tropical diseases
Evaluating dengue transmission dynamics in an endemic urban setting in Viet Nam: an index-household contact cohort study.
Masdin, L; Ashall, J; Kim Huynh, M; BIGGS, J; PHELAN, J; Shah, S; Thuy Le, L; Bao Nguyen, T; Thai Do, H; Anh Thi Nguyen, H; Thi Thu Nguyen, T; Anh Dang, D; Iwasaki, C; Toizumi, M; Van Loock, M; Herrera-Taracena, G; Vijgen, L; Rasschaert, F; Van Wesenbeeck, L; HAFALLA, JC; BRADY, OJ; Yoshida, L-M; Hué, S; HIBBERD, ML;
2026
The Lancet. Infectious diseases
Performance evaluation of an operational dengue forecasting system (D-MOSS) in Vietnam.
Campbell, AM; Colón-González, F; Quoc, DK; Tuan, NH; Dong, NT; Trang, TT; Sulaiman, LH B; Wong, SF; Hofmann, B; Tsarouchi, G; Harpham, Q; Nam, VS; BRADY, O;
2026
PLOS global public health
Mathematical modelling of Wolbachia replacement in Aedes aegypti for dengue control: a scoping review.
Tiley, K; Yakob, L; O'REILLY, K; BRADY, O;
2026
Proceedings. Biological sciences
Projecting long-term excess risks of major infectious diseases associated with future extreme weather events in Thailand.
Choo, EL W; Ma, P; Chow, JY; Yim, SH-L; BRADY, O; Dickens, BL; Lim, JT;
2026
PLoS neglected tropical diseases
Variations in annual dengue intensities are explained by temperature anomalies.
Porzucek, AJ; Lopes, R; Chew, YT; Li, K; BRADY, OJ; Warren, JL; Carlson, CJ; Weinberger, DM; Grubaugh, ND;
2025
medRxiv
Age-specific chikungunya outbreak response immunisation strategies in Brazil: a modelling study.
KANG, H; LIM, A; CLARK, A; Colón González, FJ; Clapham, HE; Carrera, J-P; Kim, J-H; Auzenbergs, M; LAKSHMINARAYANAN, P; López-Vergès, S; Sim, SY; Han, SM; Cerqueira-Silva, T; Endy, T; Cucunubá, ZM; EDMUNDS, WJ; Sahastrabuddhe, S; BRADY, OJ; ABBAS, K;
2025
eClinicalMedicine
Global, regional and national burden of chikungunya: force of infection mapping and spatial modelling study.
KANG, H; LIM, A; Auzenbergs, M; CLARK, A; Colón-González, FJ; Salje, H; Clapham, H; Carrera, JP; Kim, J-H; Malarski, M; López-Vergès, S; Cucunubá, ZM; Cerqueira-Silva, T; EDMUNDS, WJ; Sahastrabuddhe, S; BRADY, OJ; ABBAS, K;
2025
BMJ Global Health
Rising dengue risk with increasing El Niño-Southern Oscillation amplitude and teleconnections.
Tian, Y; Xu, Y; Liang, Y; Zhou, Z; Susong, KM; Chen, Y; JOSHI, K; Campbell, AM; LIM, A; Lin, Q; Ma, Z; Wei, Y; Yang, Y; Sun, C; Feng, J; He, Q; Wang, Z; Cazelles, B; Guo, Y; Liu, K; BRADY, OJ; Tian, H;
2025
Nature communications
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