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Mr Alexis Robert

Assistant Professor of Infectious Disease Modelling

United Kingdom

I am a mathematical modeller in infectious disease dynamics. My research interests centre around understanding how acute infections spread and how to mitigate outbreak risks. Specifically, I work on developing generalisable and open-access statistical tools to identify determinants of transmission, evaluate outbreak risks and inform public health policies. I first joined the School as a research assistant in 2016, and then completed a PhD funded by the Medical Research Council on "Modelling the risks of measles outbreaks near elimination" (2017-2021). Prior to joining the School, I completed two Master’s degrees (Bioinformatics and Modelling at INSA de Lyon and Public Health at Lyon 1 University). 

 

I am affiliated with the Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases.

Affiliations

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Dynamics
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health

Centres

Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases

Teaching

Since 2021, I have led an optional module for MSc Epidemiology and MSc Demography and Health students on "Introduction to R", for which I have developed teaching materials. At LSHTM, I teach on the Statistics for Epidemiology and Population Health MSc module and on the Modern Techniques for Modelling Infectious Diseases Dynamics short course. I also teach on the Introduction to Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Modelling short course at Nagasaki University. Finally, I have developed and led Introduction to R sessions for staff.

Research

My work aims to improve our understanding of respiratory virus transmission patterns in heterogeneous populations by developing robust inference and simulation models. My core project focuses on investigating the impact of socioeconomic and ethnic health disparities on respiratory virus transmission. In particular, I develop mathematical models to analyse the connections between social contact patterns in specific social groups and infection rates.


In the past ten years, I have worked on analysing transmission dynamics in various settings and pathogens: understanding drivers of transmission during previous Ebola virus disease outbreaks in West Africa and in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, modelling the dynamics of measles in near-elimination settings, forecasting COVID-19 outbreak risk in Europe, and improving the control of measles epidemics in Niger.

Research Area
Mathematical modelling
Bayesian analysis
Statistical methods
Electronic health records
Epidemiology
Disease and Health Conditions
Measles
Influenza
Ebola virus
Respiratory diseases

Selected Publications

Ethnic inequalities in respiratory virus epidemics in England: a mathematical modelling study
ROBERT, A; GOODFELLOW, L; Pellis, L; Van Leeuwen, E; EDMUNDS, WJ; Quilty, B; VAN ZANDVOORT, K; EGGO, RM;
2026
openRxiv
Impact of vaccination timing and coverage on measles near elimination dynamics: a mathematical modelling analysis.
SUFFEL, AM; WARREN-GASH, C; McDonald, HI; KUCHARSKI, A; ROBERT, A;
2025
Nature communications
Phylogenetic Study of Local Patterns Influenza A(H3N2) Virus Transmission in a Semi-Isolated Population in a Remote Island in Japan Between 2011 and 2013.
Han, SM; Shiino, T; Masuda, S; Furuse, Y; Yasaka, T; Kanda, S; Komori, K; Saito, N; Kubo, Y; SMITH, C; Endo, A; ROBERT, A; Baguelin, M; Ariyoshi, K;
2025
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses
Impact of Viral Co-Detection on the Within-Host Viral Diversity of Influenza Patients.
Han, SM; Kubo, Y; ROBERT, A; Baguelin, M; Ariyoshi, K;
2025
Viruses
Long-term waning of vaccine-induced immunity to measles in England: a mathematical modelling study.
ROBERT, A; SUFFEL, AM; KUCHARSKI, AJ;
2024
The Lancet Public Health
alxsrobert/measles_england_sir
ROBERT, A; SUFFEL, AM;
2024
Github
Phylogenetic study of local patterns influenza A(H3N2) virus transmission in a semi-isolated population in a remote island in Japan between 2011-2013
Han, SM; Shiino, T; Masuda, S; Furuse, Y; Yasaka, T; Kanda, S; Komori, K; Saito, N; Kubo, Y; Smith, C; Endo, A; ROBERT, A; Baguelin, M; Ariyoshi, K;
2024
openRxiv
Long-term waning of vaccine-induced immunity to measles in England
ROBERT, A; Suffel, A; Kucharski, A;
2024
medRxiv
Predicting subnational incidence of COVID-19 cases and deaths in EU countries.
ROBERT, A; Chapman, LA C; Grah, R; Niehus, R; Sandmann, F; Prasse, B; FUNK, S; KUCHARSKI, AJ;
2024
BMC infectious diseases
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