Experiences of structured elicitation cost-effectiveness analyses
Empirical evidence supporting the cost-effectiveness estimates of particular health care technologies may be limited, or it may even be missing entirely. In these situations, additional information, often in the form of expert judgments, is needed to reach a decision. There are formal methods to quantify experts’ beliefs, termed as structured expert elicitation (SEE), but only limited research is available in support of methodological choices. Perhaps as a consequence, the use of SEE in the context of cost-effectiveness modelling is limited.
This talk will be based on a recently published paper (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1098301518302274) that reviews applications of SEE in cost-effectiveness modelling with the aim of summarizing the basis for methodological choices made in each application and recording the difﬁculties and challenges reported by the authors in the design, conduct, and analyses. This talk will also summarise plans for the additional work to be conducted within an MRC funded project on elicitation for health care decision making.