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Timothy Russell

BSc MSc PhD

Research Fellow

LSHTM
Keppel Street
London
WC1E 7HT
United Kingdom

I joined the school in November 2019, after completing my PhD in mathematical biology at Royal Holloway, supervised by Vincent Jansen. My PhD focused on approximate closed forms of stable/attracting manifolds and their properties in dynamical systems motivated by population genetics and population dynamics. 

Affiliations

Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Centres

Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID)

Research

Since its formation in January 2020, I have been working in the CMMID COVID-19 working group, on various aspects of the pandemic. A few examples include: estimating the true numbers of cases and infections worldwide, early severity estimates, estimates of the proportion of asymptomatic infections and more recently, assessing the efficacy of different testing strategies. Since joining the school, I have become extremely interested in Bayesian inference methods, and way of using them in almost all of our work, the incredible domain-specific languages that exist to perform such inferences (Stan, LibBi, etc)

Research Area
Statistical methods
Surveillance
Bayesian Analysis
Outbreaks
Modelling
Disease and Health Conditions
Infectious disease
Influenza
Dengue