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Timothy Russell

BSc MSc PhD

Research Fellow

LSHTM
Keppel Street
London
WC1E 7HT
United Kingdom

I joined the school in November 2019, after completing my PhD in mathematical biology at Royal Holloway, supervised by Vincent Jansen. My PhD focused on approximate closed forms of stable/attracting manifolds and their properties in dynamical systems motivated by population genetics and population dynamics. 

Affiliations

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health

Centres

Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID)

Research

Since its formation in January 2020, I have been working in the CMMID COVID-19 working group, on various aspects of the pandemic. A few examples include: estimating the true numbers of cases and infections worldwide, early severity estimates, estimates of the proportion of asymptomatic infections and more recently, assessing the efficacy of different testing strategies. Since joining the school, I have become extremely interested in Bayesian inference methods, and way of using them in almost all of our work, the incredible domain-specific languages that exist to perform such inferences (Stan, LibBi, etc)

Research Area
Statistical methods
Surveillance
Bayesian Analysis
Outbreaks
Modelling
Disease and Health Conditions
Infectious disease
Influenza
Dengue

Selected Publications

Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England.
Davies NG; Abbott S; Barnard RC; Jarvis CI; Kucharski AJ; Munday JD; Pearson CAB; Russell TW; Tully DC; Washburne AD
2021
Science (New York, N.Y.)
Absence of 'selfish herd' dynamics in bird flocks under threat
Sankey DWE; Storms RF; Musters RJ; Russell TW; Hemelrijk CK; Portugal SJ
2021
Current Biology
Routine childhood immunisation during the COVID-19 pandemic in Africa: a benefit-risk analysis of health benefits versus excess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Abbas K; Procter SR; van Zandvoort K; Clark A; Funk S; Mengistu T; Hogan D; Dansereau E; Jit M; Flasche S
2020
The Lancet Global Health
Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 re-introduction from international travellers
Clifford S; Quilty B; Russell T; Liu Y; Chan Y-WD; Pearson C; Eggo R; Endo A; Flasche S; Edmunds J
2020
The contribution of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections to transmission on the Diamond Princess cruise ship.
Emery JC; Russell TW; Liu Y; Hellewell J; Pearson CA; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Knight GM; Eggo RM; Kucharski AJ; Funk S
2020
eLife
Using a real-world network to model localized COVID-19 control strategies.
Firth JA; Hellewell J; Klepac P; Kissler S; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Kucharski AJ; Spurgin LG
2020
NATURE MEDICINE
Estimating the effectiveness of routine asymptomatic PCR testing at different frequencies for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infections
Hellewell J; Russell TW; Beale R; Kelly G; Houlihan C; Nastouli E; Kucharski AJ
2020
MedRxiv - BMJ Yale
Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections.
Russell TW; Golding N; Hellewell J; Abbott S; Wright L; Pearson CAB; van Zandvoort K; Jarvis CI; Gibbs H; Liu Y
2020
BMC medicine
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