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Timothy Russell

BSc MSc PhD

Research Fellow

LSHTM
Keppel Street
London
WC1E 7HT
United Kingdom

I joined the school in November 2019, after completing my PhD in mathematical biology at Royal Holloway, supervised by Vincent Jansen. My PhD focused on approximate closed forms of stable/attracting manifolds and their properties in dynamical systems motivated by population genetics and population dynamics. 

Affiliations

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health

Centres

Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID)

Research

Since its formation in January 2020, I have been working in the CMMID COVID-19 working group, on various aspects of the pandemic. A few examples include: estimating the true numbers of cases and infections worldwide, early severity estimates, estimates of the proportion of asymptomatic infections and more recently, assessing the efficacy of different testing strategies. Since joining the school, I have become extremely interested in Bayesian inference methods, and way of using them in almost all of our work, the incredible domain-specific languages that exist to perform such inferences (Stan, LibBi, etc)

Research Area
Statistical methods
Surveillance
Bayesian Analysis
Outbreaks
Modelling
Disease and Health Conditions
Infectious disease
Influenza
Dengue

Selected Publications

Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021.
Chapman LAC; Barnard RC; Russell TW; Abbott S; van Zandvoort K; Davies NG; Kucharski AJ
2022
Euro surveillance
Changes in social contacts in England during the COVID-19 pandemic between March 2020 and March 2021 as measured by the CoMix survey: A repeated cross-sectional study.
Gimma A; Munday JD; Wong KLM; Coletti P; van Zandvoort K; Prem K; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Klepac P; Rubin GJ; Funk S
2022
PLoS medicine
Travel measures in the SARS-CoV-2 variant era need clear objectives.
Kucharski AJ; Jit M; Logan JG; Cotten M; Clifford S; Quilty BJ; Russell TW; Peeling RW; Antonio M; Heymann DL
2022
LANCET
Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 seroassay sensitivity: a systematic review and modeling study
Owusu-Boaitey N; Russell TW; Meyerowitz-Katz G; Levin AT; Herrera-Esposito D
2022
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
cmmid/SA2UK: CEA submission
Pearson CAB; Russell TW; Kucharski AJ
2022
Compositional modelling of immune response and virus transmission dynamics.
Waites W; Cavaliere M; Danos V; Datta R; Eggo RM; Hallett TB; Manheim D; Panovska-Griffiths J; Russell TW; Zarnitsyna VI
2022
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 burden in European countries as of 21st November 2021
Chapman LAC; Barnard RC; Russell TW; Abbott S; Van Zandvoort K; Davies NG; Kucharski AJ
2021
Compositional modelling of immune response and virus transmission
dynamics
Waites W; Cavaliere M; Danos V; Datta R; Eggo RM; Hallett TB; Manheim D; Panovska-Griffiths J; Russell TW; Zarnitsyna VI
2021
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