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Dr Anna Foss

MMath PhD

Associate Professor
in Public Health Education and Mathematical Epidemiology

LSHTM
15-17 Tavistock Place
London
WC1H 9SH
United Kingdom

Tel.
+44 (0)20 7927 2891

I joined LSHTM in July 2001 after graduating with a Masters of Mathematics from the University of Manchester. 

Alongside my work at LSHTM, I completed a part-time staff-PhD (awarded June 2007), titled: 'Mathematical modelling of HIV/STI transmission and prevention: methodological issues when dealing with uncertainty'.

In June 2010, I was awarded a Distinction for my Postgraduate Certificate in Learning and Teaching (Full Certificate - Modules 1 and 2). 

I am a Fellow Member of The Higher Education Academy and also a member of the London International Development Centre.

Affiliations

Department of Global Health and Development

Centres

Centre for Evaluation
Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases
Statistical Methodology

Teaching

A Director of LEARN – the Learning and Educational Advances Research Network - promoting best practice in learning and teaching through educational research (since November 2015). 

Educational Supervisor for the Postgraduate Certificate in Learning and Teaching (PGCILT) and conducted PGCILT Summative Teaching Observations (2010 - 2012, and again since November 2015).

Distance Learning Tutor - Assessor for:

  • PHM101 Basic Epidemiology (since June 2016)
  • PHM202 Communicable Disease Control (Feb 2014 - April 2016)
  • EPM302 Modelling and Dynamics of Infectious Diseases (since June 2013)

PHM305 Project Module Organiser and Project Supervisor for the Public Health PGDip/MSc by Distance Learning (since Oct 2008).

PhD Advisor on Advisory Committees (since Sept 2008).

PhD Supervisor (Sept 2008 - Sept 2015).

Educational Developer coordinating the academic side of facilitating the expansion of Distance Learning MSc Modules as Standalone Short Courses, including developing promotional and supporting materials, canvassing opinions of senior teaching staff, and working with the Head of Registry on a marketing strategy (Oct 2010 - Sept 2011).

Educational Developer using e-Learning technologies to produce an induction package of study skills materials for Distance Learning and London-based MSc students - leading on the Basic Maths component while also coordinating and contributing to the development of the other components, e.g. Statistics and Epidemiology, English for Academic Purposes, and guidance from the Library (Oct 2010 - Sept 2011).

Course Director for the Faculty of Public Health & Policy contribution to the Control of Infectious Diseases MSc and Public Health in Developing Countries MSc (summing to over 4 years within period 2007 - 2012).

Basic Maths Support Coordinator / Module Organiser (2007 - 2012) and Seminar Leader in the Basic Maths Support Sessions (2002 - 2012).

Research

I am a senior modeller in the Social and Mathematical Epidemiology (SaME) Research Group with over fifteen years of experience working on mathematical modelling of HIV/STI transmission, and the impact of prevention interventions in different Asian, African and South American settings, commonly working in close collaboration with overseas partners.

My methodological specialism is in handling uncertainty in mathematical modelling and using mathematics to explore epidemiological questions. I have built up a large body of work in this area, developing mathematical methods of different levels of complexity to address specific HIV/STI transmission questions, with explicit consideration of the structural and parametric uncertainties in model projections. This work has included analyses reflecting the biological uncertainty associated with herpes-HIV interactions, the epidemiological and delivery uncertainties associated with introducing new HIV prevention technologies, such as microbicides, and the behavioural uncertainties associated with trying to make projections about marginalised and hidden groups, such as men who have sex with men in southern India. My methodological specialism also forms the basis of my involvement with colleagues in the Department of Social and Environmental Health Research (SEHR) on handling behavioural uncertainty when modelling health in the urban environment. My work has included developing approaches to model simplification, exploring parametric uncertainty and using model fitting techniques to infer improved estimates for key uncertain parameters.

My current research interests have also recently expanded to educational/pedagogical research to explore various issues in learning and teaching, including employability skills. For example, I have posted a comment (fourth in the list) in response to an article in the Times Higher Education. I also facilitated a workshop exploring the concepts of creativity and innovation at the 2016 annual conference of the Staff and Educational Development Association. Alongside this, I wrote a review of a book about learners struggling with mathematics.

Research Area
Decision analysis
Environment
Sexual health
Social and structural determinants of health
Alcohol
Environmental Health
Evaluation
Gender
Impact evaluation
Violence
Modelling
Education
Discipline
Epidemiology
Mathematics
Mathematical modelling
Disease and Health Conditions
Herpesviruses
HIV/AIDS
Infectious disease
Sexually transmitted disease
Human papillomavirus (HPV)
Sexually transmitted infection
Country
Benin
Bangladesh
United Kingdom
India
Cambodia
Nigeria
Peru
Uganda
South Africa
Region
Euro area
European Union
Latin America & Caribbean (developing only)
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa (developing only)

Selected Publications

Potential impact of pre-exposure prophylaxis for female sex workers and men who have sex with men in Bangalore, India: a mathematical modelling study.
Mitchell, K.M. ; Prudden, H.J. ; Washington, R. ; Isac, S. ; Rajaram, S.P. ; Foss, A.M. ; Terris-Prestholt, F. ; Boily, M.C. ; Vickerman, P. ;
J Int AIDS Soc
Cost-effectiveness of tenofovir gel in urban South Africa: model projections of HIV impact and threshold product prices.
Terris-Prestholt, F. ; Foss, A.M. ; Cox, A.P. ; Heise, L. ; Meyer-Rath, G. ; Delany-Moretlwe, S. ; Mertenskoetter, T. ; Rees, H. ; Vickerman, P. ; Watts, C.H. ;
BMC Infect Dis
Who mixes with whom among men who have sex with men? Implications for modelling the HIV epidemic in southern India.
Mitchell, K.M.; Foss, A.M.; Prudden, H.J.; Mukandavire, Z.; Pickles, M.; Williams, J.R.; Johnson, H.C.; Ramesh, B.M.; Washington, R.; Isac, S.; Rajaram, S.; Phillips, A.E.; Bradley, J.; Alary, M.; Moses, S.; Lowndes, C.M.; Watts, C.H.; Boily, M.C.; Vickerman, P.;
J Theor Biol
Can the UNAIDS modes of transmission model be improved?: a comparison of the original and revised model projections using data from a setting in west Africa.
Prudden, H.J.; Watts, C.H.; Vickerman, P.; Bobrova, N.; Heise, L.; Ogungbemi, M.K.; Momah, A.; Blanchard, J.F.; Foss, A.M.;
AIDS
Modelling the interactions between herpes simplex virus type 2 and HIV: implications for the HIV epidemic in southern India.
Foss, A.M.; Vickerman, P.T.; Mayaud, P.; Weiss, H.A.; Ramesh, B.M.; Reza-Paul, S.; Washington, R.; Blanchard, J.; Moses, S.; Lowndes, C.M.; Alary, M.; Watts, C.H.;
Sex Transm Infect
To what extent is the HIV epidemic in southern India driven by commercial sex? A modelling analysis.
Vickerman, P.; Foss, A.M.; Pickles, M.; Deering, K.; Verma, S.; Demers, E.; Lowndes, C.M.; Moses, S.; Alary, M.; Boily, M.C.;
AIDS
Dynamic Modeling of Herpes Simplex Virus Type-2 (HSV-2) Transmission: Issues in Structural Uncertainty.
Foss, A.M.; Vickerman, P.T.; Chalabi, Z.; Mayaud, P.; Alary, M.; Watts, C.H.;
Bull Math Biol
See all Dr Anna Foss's Publications