Mr Patrick Muller


Research Fellow
in Epidemiology

15-17 Tavistock Place
United Kingdom

I joined the Department of Health Services Research and Policy at LSHTM in 2020. Previously I've worked at the Comprehensive Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, in the Cancer Survival Group at LSHTM, and at Amnesty International UK. I have an MSc in Medical Statistics from LSHTM and a BSc in Maths from KCL.


Department of Health Services Research and Policy
Faculty of Public Health and Policy
Department of Non-communicable Disease Epidemiology


In 2020/21 I teach on Health Care Evaluation and am a tutor for the MSc Public Health. In the past I've taught on STEPH, SME, ASME, and the Cancer Survival short course. I have a postgraduate certificate in learning and teaching (PGCILT) from LSHTM.


I currently work on projects with the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists, including studies using Hospital Episodes Statistics data to compare long-term outcomes between different urogynaecological surgeries. Previous research includes clinical trials on lupus and osteoarthritis; evaluations of trends and inequalities in early cancer diagnosis in England; and an international comparison of cancer survival. 

On the methods side, I'm interested in statistical modelling (survival analysis, random effects models), approaches for multiple comparisons (funnel plots), and techniques to handle missing data (multiple imputation). I have a little knowledge of machine learning techniques and causal inference methodology, and am keen to learn more.

Research Area
Health inequalities
Health services research
Maternal health
Quality improvement
Statistical methods
Electronic health records
Disease and Health Conditions
Non-communicable diseases
European Union

Selected Publications

Maternal and perinatal outcomes of pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 infection at the time of birth in England: national cohort study.
Gurol-Urganci I; Jardine JE; Carroll F; Draycott T; Dunn G; Fremeaux A; Harris T; Hawdon J; Morris E; Muller P
American journal of obstetrics and gynecology
Risk of reoperation 10 years after surgical treatment for stress urinary incontinence: a national population-based cohort study.
Muller P; Gurol-Urganci I; Meulen JVD; Thakar R; Jha S
American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology
Impact of a mid-urethral synthetic mesh sling on long-term risk of systemic conditions in women with stress urinary incontinence: a national cohort study.
Muller P; Gurol-Urganci I; Thakar R; Ehrenstein MR; Van Der Meulen J; Jha S
BJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology
Challenges and satisfaction in Cardiothoracic Surgery Residency Programmes: insights from a Europe-wide survey.
Cerqueira RJ; Heuts S; Gollmann-Tepeköylü C; Syrjälä SO; Keijzers M; Zientara A; Jarral OA; Jacob KA; Haunschild J; Ariyaratnam P
Interactive cardiovascular and thoracic surgery
Temporal and geographic changes in stage at diagnosis in England during 2008-2013: A population-based study of colorectal, lung and ovarian cancers.
Muller P; Woods L; Walters S
Cancer Epidemiology: the international journal of cancer epidemiology, detection and prevention
See more Publications