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Dr Rachel Lowe

BSc MSc PhD

Assistant Professor
/ Royal Society Dorothy Hodgkin Fellow

Room
107

LSHTM
Keppel Street
London
WC1E 7HT
United Kingdom

Tel.
+44 (0) 20 7958 8229

My research involves understanding how environmental and socio-economic factors interact to determine the risk of disease transmission. 

I graduated from the University of East Anglia in 2004 with a First Class BSc (Hons) in Meteorology and Oceanography with a year in Europe. I spent one year at the University of Granada, Spain, reading Environmental Science. In 2007, I completed an MSc with distinction in Geophysical Hazards at University College London (UCL), where I received a UCL Graduate Masters Award. In 2011, I obtained a PhD in Mathematics at the University of Exeter (PhD Thesis: Spatio-temporal modelling of climate-sensitive disease risk: towards an early warning system for dengue in Brazil). Alongside my PhD, I was a Network Facilitator for the Leverhulme Trust funded project EUROBRISA: a EURO-BRazilian Initiative for improving South American seasonal forecasts. During the project, I collaborated with climate scientists and public health experts in Brazil, which resulted in my continuing participation in the Brazilian Climate and Health Observatory.

From 2010-2012, I was a Visiting Scientist at the International Centre for Theoretical Physics in Trieste, Italy, where I worked with the Malawi Ministry of Health to develop predictive models for malaria and a platform to integrate climate information and rural telemedicine. From 2012-2016, I was a Postdoctoral Scientist and Head of Climate Services for Health at the Catalan Institute for Climate Sciences (IC3) in Barcelona, Spain. I have worked with the World Health Organization as a temporary advisor on developing decision making tools for climate and health in Europe. I am on the board of Associate Editors for the journal Reports in Public Health. I am a visiting scholar at the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal).

Affiliations

Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Centres

Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases
Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health

Research

My research is funded by a Royal Society Dorothy Hodgkin Fellowship, supported by the Global Challenges Research Fund. My current project concerns modelling the impact of global environmental change on vector-borne diseases, such as dengue, Zika, chikungunya and malaria.

The aim is to develop statistical and mathematical models to understand the relationship between climatic, socio-economic and demographic factors and variations in disease risk in space and time. Understanding geographical risk is important for targeting limited public health resources, while predicting future risk helps public health authorities plan for changing disease patterns due to shifts in climate or human behaviour.

Alongside my research, I organise and teach on international and regional climate and health capacity building activities for postgraduate students and public health practitioners, with partners at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, International Centre for Theoretical Physics, and the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation.

My outreach activities and research on dengue early warning systems have been showcased in policy reports published by the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, World Meteorological Organization and World Health Organization.

Research Area
Climate change
Environment
Public health
Risk
Statistical methods
Bayesian Analysis
Capacity strengthening
Global Health
Natural disasters
Spatial analysis
Modelling
Discipline
Epidemiology
Mathematical modelling
Statistics
Disease and Health Conditions
Malaria
Dengue
Emerging Infectious Disease
Vector borne disease

Selected Publications

Nonlinear and delayed impacts of climate on dengue risk in Barbados: A modelling study.
Lowe R; Gasparrini A; Van Meerbeeck CJ; Lippi CA; Mahon R; Trotman AR; Rollock L; Hinds AQJ; Ryan SJ; Stewart-Ibarra AM
2018
PLoS medicine
The Zika Virus Epidemic in Brazil: From Discovery to Future Implications.
Lowe R; Barcellos C; Brasil P; Cruz OG; Honório NA; Kuper H; Carvalho MS
2018
International journal of environmental research and public health
Climate services for health: predicting the evolution of the 2016 dengue season in Machala, Ecuador.
Lowe R; Stewart-Ibarra AM; Petrova D; García-Díez M; Borbor-Cordova MJ; Mejía R; Regato M; Rodó X
2017
The lancet Planetary health
Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil.
Lowe R; Coelho CA; Barcellos C; Carvalho MS; Catão R; Coelho GE; Ramalho WM; Bailey TC; Stephenson DB; Rodó X
2016
eLife
Quantifying the added value of climate information in a spatio-temporal dengue model
Lowe R; Cazelles B; Paul R; Rodó X
2015
Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment
Dengue outlook for the World Cup in Brazil: an early warning model framework driven by real-time seasonal climate forecasts.
Lowe R; Barcellos C; Coelho CA; Bailey TC; Coelho GE; Graham R; Jupp T; Ramalho WM; Carvalho MS; Stephenson DB
2014
The Lancet infectious diseases
Expansion of the dengue transmission area in Brazil: the role of climate and cities.
Barcellos C; Lowe R
2013
Tropical medicine & international health
The development of an early warning system for climate-sensitive disease risk with a focus on dengue epidemics in Southeast Brazil.
Lowe R; Bailey TC; Stephenson DB; Jupp TE; Graham RJ; Barcellos C; Carvalho MS
2012
Statistics in medicine
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