Close

Dr Lloyd Chapman

MMath PhD

Research Fellow

LSHTM
Keppel Street
London
WC1E 7HT
United Kingdom

My research uses mathematical and statistical modelling to try to improve understanding and control of infectious diseases. I am currently working on modelling of outbreak-prone diseases, such as COVID-19, as part of the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling and Health Economics based at LSHTM, Imperial College and Public Health England.

From 2015-2020, I worked on modelling of visceral leishmaniasis to support national control programs in the Indian subcontinent, first as a postdoc in the Neglected Tropical Disease Modelling Consortium at Warwick University and then as an assistant professor at LSHTM.

From 2020-2021, I was a postdoc in the Department of Medicine at the University of California, San Francisco, where I worked on various COVID-19 modelling projects, including vaccine prioritization and interventions against homeless shelter outbreaks, and developing Bayesian inference methods for reconstructing malaria antibody dynamics.

Affiliations

Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Centres

Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID)

Teaching

I teach on several modules on the MSc in Medical Statistics, including Foundations of Medical Statistics, Statistical Methods in Epidemiology, and Analysis of Hierarchical and Other Dependent Data, and supervise students on the course.

Research

My research applies novel mathematical and statistical methods to infectious disease data at different scales to improve understanding of disease transmission and inform control interventions. I am particularly interested in Bayesian inference methods in epidemiology and spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases.

Research Area
Bayesian Analysis
Disease control
Modelling
Discipline
Epidemiology
Mathematical modelling
Disease and Health Conditions
Measles
Influenza
Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs)
Respiratory disease
Leishmaniasis
Coronavirus
Country
United Kingdom
Region
World

Selected Publications

Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021.
Chapman LAC; Barnard RC; Russell TW; Abbott S; van Zandvoort K; Davies NG; Kucharski AJ
2022
Euro surveillance
Comparison of infection control strategies to reduce COVID-19 outbreaks in homeless shelters in the United States: a simulation study.
Chapman LAC; Kushel M; Cox SN; Scarborough A; Cawley C; Nguyen TQ; Rodriguez-Barraquer I; Greenhouse B; Imbert E; Lo NC
2021
BMC medicine
Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis.
Chapman LAC; Spencer SEF; Pollington TM; Jewell CP; Mondal D; Alvar J; Hollingsworth TD; Cameron MM; Bern C; Medley GF
2020
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS)
The role of case proximity in transmission of visceral leishmaniasis in a highly endemic village in Bangladesh.
Chapman LAC; Jewell CP; Spencer SEF; Pellis L; Datta S; Chowdhury R; Bern C; Medley GF; Hollingsworth TD
2018
PLoS neglected tropical diseases
Quantification of the natural history of visceral leishmaniasis and consequences for control.
Chapman LAC; Dyson L; Courtenay O; Chowdhury R; Bern C; Medley GF; Hollingsworth TD
2015
Parasites & vectors
See more Publications