Dr Anton Camacho


Research Fellow


Keppel Street
United Kingdom

+44 (0)20 7927 2407

I am a mathematical modeller in epidemiology. My work involves the development and the analysis of mathematical models to investigate the mechanisms underlying the epidemiological dynamics of infectious diseases.

I am currently funded by an MRC Career Development Award in Biostatistics, and I am affiliated with the Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases at the London School.

I completed my PhD in Mathematical Biology in 2011, under the supervision of Bernard Cazelles and Amaury Lambert at the Eco-Evolutionary Mathematics lab in Paris. I contributed to the field of theoretical approaches to understand the epidemiology, immunolgy and evolution of influenza.
More broadly, I am interested in interdisciplinary research, at the edge of mathematics, biology and computer sciences, in order to address public-health issues.


Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology


I am taking part in the two Modelling courses run by the CMMID within the MSc Programmes offered by the School. I am also co-organizer of the Distance Learning Modelling module.


Currently, my research aims to improve our understanding of what governs the size and severity of seasonal influenza epidemics. This is a key public health priority for the design of effective intervention strategies, like vaccination.

From a statistical perspective, I am fitting mechanistic models to the many different and varied surveillance data available in the UK in order to draw synergistic inference on key epidemiological drivers. More precisely, I am using statistical algorithms that have recently been developed to perform inference on partially observed Markov processes.

Research Area
Statistical methods
Mathematical modelling
Disease and Health Conditions
Infectious disease

Selected Publications

Evaluation of the Benefits and Risks of Introducing Ebola Community Care Centers, Sierra Leone
Kucharski, A.J.; Camacho, A.; Checchi, F.; Waldman, R.; Grais, R.F.; Cabrol, J.-C.; Briand, S.; Baguelin, M.; Flasche, S.; Funk, S.; Edmunds, W.J.
Emerging Infectious Diseases
Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study.
Camacho, A. ; Kucharski, A. ; Aki-Sawyerr, Y. ; White, M.A. ; Flasche, S. ; Baguelin, M. ; Pollington, T. ; Carney, J.R. ; Glover, R. ; Smout, E. ; Tiffany, A. ; Edmunds, W.J. ; Funk, S. ;
PLoS Curr
Efficacy and effectiveness of an rVSV-vectored vaccine expressing Ebola surface glycoprotein: interim results from the Guinea ring vaccination cluster-randomised trial.
Henao-Restrepo, A.M.; Longini, I.M.; Egger, M.; Dean, N.E.; Edmunds, W.J.; Camacho, A.; Carroll, M.W.; Doumbia, M.; Draguez, B.; Duraffour, S.; Enwere, G.; Grais, R.; Gunther, S.; Hossmann, S.; Kondé, M.K.; Kone, S.; Kuisma, E.; Levine, M.M.; Mandal, S.; Norheim, G.; Riveros, X.; Soumah, A.; Trelle, S.; Vicari, A.S.; Watson, C.H.; Kéïta, S.; Kieny, M.P.; Røttingen, J.A.;
Measuring the impact of Ebola control measures in Sierra Leone.
Kucharski, A.J.; Camacho, A.; Flasche, S.; Glover, R.E.; Edmunds, W.J.; Funk, S.;
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Potential for large outbreaks of Ebola virus disease.
Camacho, A. ; Kucharski, A.J. ; Funk, S. ; Breman, J. ; Piot, P. ; Edmunds, W.J. ;
Assessing Optimal Target Populations for Influenza Vaccination Programmes: An Evidence Synthesis and Modelling Study.
Baguelin, M. ; Flasche, S. ; Camacho, A. ; Demiris, N. ; Miller, E. ; Edmunds, W.J. ;
PLoS Med
See all Dr Anton Camacho's Publications