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Dr Oliver Brady

DPhil

Associate Professor

Room
107

LSHTM
Keppel Street
London
WC1E 7HT
United Kingdom

Tel.
+442076127935

My research aims to use statistical models to better understand the geographic spread of mosquito-transmitted viruses and optimise strategies for their control and spans three main areas:

  1. Mapping the global distribution of dengue, chikungunya and Zika and estimating their true burden to track progress towards global targets in the context of climate change, growing urbanisation and travel.
  2. Understanding and predicting the geographic spread of dengue and Zika to design new strategies to contain the spread of pandemics
  3. Developing and optimising the use of novel interventions for dengue control including real time outbreak forecasting and accelerating the adoption of novel mosquito control tools like Wolbachia.

To achieve these aims, I develop and apply advanced statistical and mechanistic models in Bayesian frameworks to high resolution climate, demographic and socioeconomic data. Key to my work is close collaboration with ministries of health and a partnership with WHO to develop strategies and guidelines that ultimately aim to contain these expanding arboviral diseases.

I completed my DPhil (PhD) at the University of Oxford before moving to LSHTM in 2016. After joining the school I was awarded a Wellcome Trust Henry Wellcome Fellowship in 2017 and a UK MRC Career Development Award Fellowship in 2021. I now lead the Dengue Mapping and Modelling group (DMMG) at LSHTM, a team of modellers, spatial statisticians and epidemiologists working on dengue.

My research is supported by a range of research funders including the MRC, the Wellcome Trust, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the UK Space Agency.

Affiliations

Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Centres

Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID)

Teaching

I teach on the Spatial Epidemiology in Public Health and Epidemiology (3135), Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases (2437) and Modelling & the Dynamics of Infectious Diseases (2464) modules at the School. I also organise the Introduction to Spatial Analysis in R (ISAIR) short course.

Research

Research Area
Climate change
Infectious disease policy
Surveillance
Disease control
Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
Global Health
Outbreaks
Spatial analysis
Vector control
Modelling
Discipline
Epidemiology
GIS/Spatial analysis
Mathematical modelling
Statistics
Vector biology
Virology
Disease and Health Conditions
Malaria
Pandemic diseases
Dengue
Emerging Infectious Disease
Tropical diseases
Vector borne disease
Zoonotic disease
Country
Brazil
Indonesia
Philippines
Vietnam
Region
Latin America & Caribbean (all income levels)
World

Selected Publications

A phylogenetic study of dengue virus in urban Vietnam shows long-term persistence of endemic strains.
Ashall J; Shah S; Biggs JR; Chang J-NR; Jafari Y; Brady OJ; Mai HK; Lien LT; Do Thai H; Nguyen HAT
2023
Virus evolution
Relaxation of anti-COVID-19 measures reveals new challenges for infectious disease outbreak forecasting.
Brady OJ; Hofmann B; Colón-González FJ; Gibb R; Lowe R; Tsarouchi G; Harpham Q; Lumbroso D; Lan PT; Nam VS
2023
The Lancet. Infectious Diseases
Projecting the future incidence and burden of dengue in Southeast Asia.
Colón-González FJ; Gibb R; Khan K; Watts A; Lowe R; Brady OJ
2023
Nature communications
Spatial dynamics of malaria transmission.
Wu SL; Henry JM; Citron DT; Mbabazi Ssebuliba D; Nakakawa Nsumba J; Sánchez C HM; Brady OJ; Guerra CA; García GA; Carter AR
2023
PLoS computational biology
Modelling the medium-term dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in England in the Omicron era.
Barnard RC; Davies NG; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; Jit M; Edmunds WJ
2022
Nature Communications
Considering equity in priority setting using transmission models: Recommendations and data needs.
Quaife M; Medley GF; Jit M; Drake T; Asaria M; van Baal P; Baltussen R; Bollinger L; Bozzani F; Brady O
2022
Epidemics
The overlapping burden of the three leading causes of disability and death in sub-Saharan African children.
Reiner RC; LBD Triple Burden Collaborators; Hay SI
2022
Nature communications
The prevalence of onchocerciasis in Africa and Yemen, 2000-2018: a geospatial analysis.
Schmidt CA; Cromwell EA; Hill E; Donkers KM; Schipp MF; Johnson KB; Pigott DM; LBD 2019 Neglected Tropical Diseases Collaborators; Hay SI
2022
BMC medicine
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