Dr Oliver Brady


Assistant Professor
and Henry Wellcome Fellow


Keppel Street
United Kingdom


My main area of expertise lies in the macro-scale modelling and mapping of vector-borne diseases with a particular focus on arboviruses including dengue, zika, yellow fever and chikungunya.

Originally trained as a biologist, I undertook a DPhil in the global epidemiology of dengue at the University of Oxford under Prof. Simon Hay. Following this I held a post doc position at the same institution, working closely with the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to help set up the Malaria Modelling Consortium before moving to the school at the beginning of 2016. In 2017 I began a Henry Wellcome Fellowship as part of a growing group of arbovirus modellers here at LSHTM.


Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health


Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases


I teach on the Spatial Epidemiology in Public Health and Epidemiology (3135), Epidemiology and Control of Communicable Diseases (2437) and Modelling & the Dynamics of Infectious Diseases (2464) modules at the School.


My research aims to improve how diseases are controlled by identifying and estimating gaps in disease surveillance to reveal their true burden of disease.

Past projects have included estimating the global distribution and burden of different arboviruses (dengue, Zika, chikungunya) as well as understanding the role of their principle mosquito vectors (Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus) in their spread. This involves the use of advanced statistical and mathematical modelling techniques to map vector-borne diseases including how they vary over time in response to environmental changes.

These methods also have broad applications in predicting and preventing emerging infectious disease spread from understanding how to stop a dengue outbreak in an urban mega city to preventing intercontinental spread.

I lead the following ongoing projects here at the school:

Estimating the burden of dengue chikungunya and Zika in Latin America. Wellcome trust Henry Wellcome Fellowship (Jul 17 - Jul 21)

ZIKAlliance ( global Zika consortium, mapping and modelling work package. EU Horizon 2020 (Oct 16 - Oct 19)

Estimating the impact of Wolbachia scale up in Indonesia. Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (Nov 17 - Nov 19)

Dengue early warning systems in Vietnam. UK Space agency (Feb 18 - Feb 21)

Research Area
Climate change
Infectious disease policy
Disease control
Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
Global Health
Spatial analysis
Vector control
GIS/Spatial analysis
Mathematical modelling
Vector biology
Disease and Health Conditions
Pandemic diseases
Emerging Infectious Disease
Tropical diseases
Vector borne disease
Zoonotic disease
Latin America & Caribbean (all income levels)

Selected Publications

Existing and potential infection risk zones of yellow fever worldwide: a modelling analysis
Shearer, F.M.; Longbottom, J.; Browne, A.J.; Pigott, D.M.; Brady, O.J.; Kraemer, M.U.G.; Marinho, F.; Yactayo, S.; de Araujo, V.E.M.; da Nobrega, A.A.; Fullman, N.; Ray, S.E.; Mosser, J.F.; Stanaway, J.D.; Lim, S.S.; Reiner, R.C.; Moyes, C.L.; Hay, S.I.; Golding, N.
Lancet Global Health
Variation in Childhood Diarrheal Morbidity and Mortality in Africa, 2000-2015.
Reiner, R.C. Jr; Graetz, N. ; Casey, D.C. ; Troeger, C. ; Garcia, G.M. ; Mosser, J.F. ; Deshpande, A. ; Swartz, S.J. ; Ray, S.E. ; Blacker, B.F. ; Rao, P.C. ; Osgood-Zimmerman, A. ; Burstein, R. ; Pigott, D.M. ; Davis, I.M. ; Letourneau, I.D. ; Earl, L. ; Ross, J.M. ; Khalil, I.A. ; Farag, T.H. ; Brady, O.J. ; Kraemer, M.U.G. ; Smith, D.L. ; Bhatt, S. ; Weiss, D.J. ; Gething, P.W. ; Kassebaum, N.J. ; Mokdad, A.H. ; Murray, C.J.L. ; Hay, S.I. ;
N Engl J Med
Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis.
O'Reilly, K.M. ; Lowe, R. ; Edmunds, W.J. ; Mayaud, P. ; Kucharski, A. ; Eggo, R.M. ; Funk, S. ; Bhatia, D. ; Khan, K. ; Kraemer, M.U.G. ; Wilder-Smith, A. ; Rodrigues, L.C. ; Brasil, P. ; Massad, E. ; Jaenisch, T. ; Cauchemez, S. ; Brady, O.J. ; Yakob, L. ;
Role of mass drug administration in elimination of Plasmodium falciparum malaria: a consensus modelling study.
Brady, O.J. ; Slater, H.C. ; Pemberton-Ross, P. ; Wenger, E. ; Maude, R.J. ; Ghani, A.C. ; Penny, M.A. ; Gerardin, J. ; White, L.J. ; Chitnis, N. ; Aguas, R. ; Hay, S.I. ; Smith, D.L. ; Stuckey, E.M. ; Okiro, E.A. ; Smith, T.A. ; Okell, L.C. ;
Lancet Glob Health
Potential for Zika virus introduction and transmission in resource-limited countries in Africa and the Asia-Pacific region: a modelling study.
Bogoch, I.I. ; Brady, O.J. ; Kraemer, M.U. ; German, M. ; Creatore, M.I. ; Brent, S. ; Watts, A.G. ; Hay, S.I. ; Kulkarni, M.A. ; Brownstein, J.S. ; Khan, K. ;
Lancet Infect Dis
The global distribution of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus.
Kraemer, M.U. ; Sinka, M.E. ; Duda, K.A. ; Mylne, A.Q. ; Shearer, F.M. ; Barker, C.M. ; Moore, C.G. ; Carvalho, R.G. ; Coelho, G.E. ; Van Bortel, W. ; Hendrickx, G. ; Schaffner, F. ; Elyazar, I.R. ; Teng, H.J. ; Brady, O.J. ; Messina, J.P. ; Pigott, D.M. ; Scott, T.W. ; Smith, D.L. ; Wint, G.R. ; Golding, N. ; Hay, S.I. ;
The global distribution and burden of dengue.
Bhatt, S. ; Gething, P.W. ; Brady, O.J. ; Messina, J.P. ; Farlow, A.W. ; Moyes, C.L. ; Drake, J.M. ; Brownstein, J.S. ; Hoen, A.G. ; Sankoh, O. ; Myers, M.F. ; George, D.B. ; Jaenisch, T. ; Wint, G.R. ; Simmons, C.P. ; Scott, T.W. ; Farrar, J.J. ; Hay, S.I. ;
See all Dr Oliver Brady's Publications