Prof Ben Armstrong

Professor in Epidemiological Statistics

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
15-17 Tavistock Place
United Kingdom

I am an applied medical statistician with long-standing interest in the application of statistics to environmental and occupational health. I joined the LSHTM (Environmental Epidemiology Unit) in 1995, having previously been Associate Professor in the Department of Occupational Health at McGill University, Montreal. I formally retired in 2016, but continue academic engagement on a part time basis.


Department of Public Health, Environments and Society
Faculty of Public Health and Policy


Centre for Data and Statistical Science for Health
Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health


I teach statistical methods for aplication to public health research in the LSHTM and various international courses. Because I am retired I no longer take new doctoral students as primary supervisor but am happy to contribute as member of supervisory teams.


My research interests cover most of environmental epidemiology and the statistical methods required for it. Specific methodological research includes that on the regression analysis of time series of health events including interrupted time series, and on effects of measurement errors on estimates of exposure-health relationships. Current substantive research topics of interest, on which I work in collaboration with colleagues, focus mainly on the impacts of weather and climate change on health.

Research Area
Applied statistics (medical)
Environmental health

Selected Publications

The Role of Humidity in Associations of High Temperature with Mortality: A Multicountry, Multicity Study.
ARMSTRONG, B; SERA, F; Vicedo-Cabrera, AM; Abrutzky, R; Åström, DO; Bell, ML; Chen, B-Y; De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M; Correa, PM; Dang, TN; Diaz, MH; Dung, DV; Forsberg, B; Goodman, P; Guo, Y-LL; Guo, Y; Hashizume, M; Honda, Y; Indermitte, E; Íñiguez, C; Kan, H; Kim, H; Kyselý, J; Lavigne, E; Michelozzi, P; ... GASPARRINI, A.
Environmental health perspectives
How urban characteristics affect vulnerability to heat and cold: a multi-country analysis.
SERA, F; ARMSTRONG, B; Tobias, A; Vicedo-Cabrera, AM; Åström, C; Bell, ML; Chen, B-Y; De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M; Matus Correa, P; Cruz, JC; Dang, TN; Hurtado-Diaz, M; Do Van, D; Forsberg, B; Guo, YL; Guo, Y; Hashizume, M; Honda, Y; Iñiguez, C; Jaakkola, JJ K; Kan, H; Kim, H; Lavigne, E; Michelozzi, P; Ortega, NV; ... GASPARRINI, A.
International Journal of Epidemiology
A case study of time-series regression modeling: Risk factors for pond-level mortality of farmed grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella) on a southern Chinese farm
Jia, B; ARMSTRONG, B; Stryhn, H; Gardner, IA; Chang, H; St-Hilaire, S;
Aquaculture (Amsterdam, Netherlands)
Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios.
GASPARRINI, A; Guo, Y; SERA, F; Vicedo-Cabrera, AM; Huber, V; Tong, S; De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M; Nascimento Saldiva, PH; Lavigne, E; Matus Correa, P; Valdes Ortega, N; Kan, H; Osorio, S; Kyselý, J; Urban, A; Jaakkola, JJ K; Ryti, NR I; Pascal, M; Goodman, PG; Zeka, A; Michelozzi, P; SCORTICHINI, M; Hashizume, M; Honda, Y; Hurtado-Diaz, M; ... ARMSTRONG, B.
The lancet Planetary health
Longer-Term Impact of High and Low Temperature on Mortality: An International Study to Clarify Length of Mortality Displacement.
ARMSTRONG, B; Bell, ML; De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M; Leon Guo, Y-L; Guo, Y; Goodman, P; Hashizume, M; Honda, Y; Kim, H; Lavigne, E; Michelozzi, P; Hilario Nascimento Saldiva, P; Schwartz, J; SCORTICHINI, M; SERA, F; Tobias, A; Tong, S; Wu, C-F; Zanobetti, A; Zeka, A; GASPARRINI, A;
Environmental health perspectives
Mental health impacts of flooding: a controlled interrupted time series analysis of prescribing data in England.
Journal of epidemiology and community health
Perfluoroalkyl Substances, Sex Hormones, and Insulin-like Growth Factor-1 at 6-9 Years of Age: A Cross-Sectional Analysis within the C8 Health Project.
Lopez-Espinosa, M-J; MONDAL, D; ARMSTRONG, BG; Eskenazi, B; FLETCHER, T;
Environmental health perspectives
Time series regression model for infectious disease and weather.
Environmental research
Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study.
GASPARRINI, A; Guo, Y; Hashizume, M; Lavigne, E; Zanobetti, A; Schwartz, J; Tobias, A; Tong, S; Rocklöv, J; Forsberg, B; Leone, M; De Sario, M; Bell, ML; Guo, Y-LL; Wu, C-F; Kan, H; Yi, S-M; De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M; Saldiva, PH N; Honda, Y; Kim, H; ARMSTRONG, B;
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