Publications
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In pressCastillo-Riquelme M, Chalabi Z, Lord J, Guhl F, Campbell-Lendrum D, Davies C & Fox-Rushby J. "Modelling geographic variation in the cost-effectiveness of control policies for infectious vector diseases: the example of Chagas disease". Journal of Health Economics Chalabi, Z.; Epstein, D.; McKenna, C.; Claxton, K.; "Uncertainty and value of information when allocating resources within and between healthcare programmes". European Journal of Operational Research. Eames, K.T.D.; Read, J.M.; Edmunds, W.J.; "Epidemic prediction and control in weighted networks". Epidemics Foss AM, Hossain M, Vickerman PT, Watts CH. "Condom use in sub-Saharan Africa and Asia: a systematic review of evidence on intervention impact". STI 2009Freeman, E. E., R. G. White, R. Bakker, K. K. Orroth, H. A. Weiss, A. Buve, R. J. Hayes and J. R. Glynn (2009).Population-level effect of potential HSV2 prophylactic vaccines on HIV incidence in sub-Saharan Africa.; Vaccine 27: 940-946. Boily, M. C., R. F. Baggaley, L. Wang, B. Masse, R. G. White, R. J. Hayes and M. Alary (2009). "Heterosexual risk of HIV-1 infection per sexual act: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies." Lancet Infectious Diseases 9(2): 118-29. 2008Sabatelli, L.; Ghani, A.C.; Rodrigues, L.C.; Hotez, P.J.; Brooker, S. "Modelling heterogeneity and the impact of chemotherapy and vaccination against human hookworm." J R Soc Interface, 2008 Massad E, Ma S, Chen MI, Struchiner CJ, Stollenwerk N, Aguiar M. "Scale-free network of a dengue epidemic". Applied Mathematics and Computation 2008 195(2):376-381 Chen MI, Ghani AC, Edmunds J. "Mind the gap: modeling the role of time between sex with two consecutive partners on the transmission dynamics of gonorrhea". STD 2008 35(5): 435-444 Read, J.M. Eames, K.T.D. Edmunds, W.J. "Dynamic social networks and the implications for the spread of infectious disease". Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 2008; 5(26):1001-1007 Phillips AN, Pillay D, Miners AH, Bennett DE, Gilks CF, Lundgren JD. "Outcomes from monitoring of patients on antiretroviral therapy in resource-limited settings with viral load, CD4 cell count, or clinical observation alone: a computer simulation model". Lancet 2008, 371:1443-1451. Scott, S. Mossong, J. Moss, W.J.Cutts, F.T. Cousens, S. "Predicted impact of the HIV-1 epidemic on measles in developing countries: results from a dynamic age-structured model." Int J Epidemiol, 2008; 37(2):356-67 White, RG, EE Freeman, KK Orroth, R. Bakker, H. Weiss, N. O'Farrell, A. Buve, RJ. Hayes and J. Glynn. "Population-level effect of HSV-2 therapy on HIV incidence in sub-Saharan Africa.” Sex Trans Inf. 84(S2): 12-18. Hallett, TB., KJ. Singh, J. A. Smith, RG. White, L. Abu-Raddad and GP. Garnett. “Understanding the Impact of Male Circumcision Interventions on the Spread of HIV.” PLoS ONE. 3(5): e2212 Schmidt, WP., V. L. M. Schim, P. Aaby, H. Whittle, R. Bakker, M. Buckner, F. Dias and RG. White. "Behaviour change and competitive exclusion can explain the diverging HIV-1 and HIV-2 prevalence trends in Guinea-Bissau." Epidemiol Infect 2008 136(4): 551-561. White, RG., KK. Orroth, J. Glynn, EE. Freeman, R. Bakker, J. D. F. Habbema, F. Terris-Prestholt , L. Kumaranayake, A. Buve and R. J. Hayes. "Treating curable STIs to Prevent HIV in Africa: Still an Effective Control Strategy?" JAcquir Immune Defic Syndr 2008, 47: 346-353. White, R.G., P. Moodley, N. McGrath, V. Hosegood, B. Zaba, K. Herbst, M. L. Newell, W. A. Sturm and R. J. Hayes (2008). "Low effectiveness of syndromic treatment services for curable sexually transmitted infections in rural South Africa." Sex Transm Infect 84(7): 528-534. White, R.G, J. R. Glynn, K. K. Orroth, E. E. Freeman, R. Bakker, H. A. Weiss, L. Kumaranayake, J. D. F. Habbema, A. Buve and R. J. Hayes (2008). “Male circumcision for HIV prevention in sub-Saharan Africa: who, what and when?” AIDS 22(14): 1841-1850. Mwita, W., J. Chilongani, R.G. White, G. Mshana, J. Changalucha, F. Mosha, D. Ross, B. Zaba and J. Todd (2008). "Has the HIV epidemic in rural Mwanza, Tanzania reached a plateau?" Tanzan J Health Res 10(3): 117-23. Baggaley, R. F., R.G. White, M. C. Boily (2008). “Systematic review of orogenital HIV-1 transmission probabilities.” International Journal of Epidemiology. 37:1255-1265. Hallett, T. B., B. Zaba, J. Todd, B. Lopman, W. Mwita, S. Biraro, S. Gregson and J. T. Boerma “Estimating Incidence from Prevalence in Generalised HIV Epidemics: Methods and Validation.” PLoS Medicine 2008 5(4): e80. 2007Alexander, N.; Sutherland, C.; Roper, C.; Cisse, B.; Schellenberg, D.; Modelling the impact of intermittent preventive treatment for malaria on selection pressure for drug resistance. Malar J, 2007; 6:9 Brooker, S.; Spatial epidemiology of human schistosomiasis in Africa: risk models, transmission dynamics and control. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg, 2007; 101(1):1-8 Bostoen, K.; Chalabi, Z.; Grais, R.F.; Optimisation of the T-square sampling method to estimate population sizes. Emerg Themes Epidemiol, 2007; 4:7 Jit M, Pebody R, Chen M, Andrews N, Edmunds WJ. Estimating the number of deaths with rotavirus as a cause in England and wales. Hum Vaccin. 2007 Jan-Feb;3(1):23-6 Lee VJ, Chen M, Chan SP, Wong CS, Cutter J, Goh KT, et al. Influenza pandemics in Singapore, a tropical, globally connected city. Emerg Infect Dis. 2007. Available from here Burattini MN, Chen M, Chow A, Coutinho FA, Goh KT, Lopez LF, Ma S, Massad E. Modelling the control strategies against dengue in Singapore. Epidemiol Infect. 2007 May 31;:1-11 Epstein, D.M.; Chalabi, Z.; Claxton, K.; Sculpher, M.; Efficiency, equity, and budgetary policies: informing decisions using mathematical programming. Med Decis Making, 2007; 27(2):128-37 Filipe, J.A. Riley, E.M. Drakeley, C.J. Sutherland, C.J. Ghani, A.C. "Determination of the processes driving the acquisition of immunity to malaria using a mathematical transmission model." PLoS Comput Biol, 2007; 3(12):e255 Foss, A.M.; Watts, C.H.; Vickerman, P.; Azim, T.; Guinness, L.; Ahmed, M.; Rodericks, A.; Jana, S.; Could the CARE-SHAKTI intervention for injecting drug users be maintaining the low HIV prevalence in Dhaka, Bangladesh? Addiction, 2007; 102(1):114-25 Fraser, C., T. D. Hollingsworth, R. Chapman, F. de Wolf and W. P. Hanage (2007). "From the Cover: Variation in HIV-1 set-point viral load: Epidemiological analysis and an evolutionary hypothesis." Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104(44): 17441-6. Freeman, E., K. Orroth, R. G. White, J. R. Glynn, R. Bakker, M.-C. Boily, D. Habbema, A. Buve and R. J. Hayes (2007). "The proportion of new HIV infections attributable to HSV-2 increases over time: simulations of the changing role of sexually transmitted infections in sub-Saharan African HIV epidemics." STI 83: i17-i24. Boily, M. C., C. Lowndes, P. Vickerman, L. Kumaranayake, J. Blanchard, S. Moses, B. Ramesh, M. Pickles, C. Watts, R. Washington, S. Reza-Paul, A. C. Labbe, R. Anderson, K. Deering and M. Alary (2007). "Evaluating large-scale HIV prevention interventions: study design for an integrated mathematical modelling approach." Sex Transm Infect. Fung, I.C.; Guinness, L.; Vickerman, P.; Watts, C.; Vannela, G.; Vadhvana, J.; Foss, A.M.; Malodia, L.; Gandhi, M.; Jani, G.; Modelling the impact and cost-effectiveness of the HIV intervention programme amongst commercial sex workers in Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India. BMC Public Health, 2007; 7(1):195 Hickman, M.; Vickerman, P.; MacLeod, J.; Kirkbride, J.; Jones, P. B. Cannabis and schizophrenia: model projections of the impact of the rise in cannabis use on historical and future trends in schizophrenia in England and Wales Addiction, 2007; 102(4):597-606 Ly, S.; van Kerkhove, M.D.; Holl, D.; Froehlich, Y.; Vong, S. Interaction between humans and poultry, rural Cambodia Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2007; 13(1):130-132 Vickerman, P.; Hickman, M.; Judd, A.; Modelling the impact on Hepatitis C transmission of reducing syringe sharing: London case study. Int J Epidemiol, 2007; 36(2):396-405 Orroth, K. K., E. Freeman, R. Bakker, A. Buve, J. Glynn, M.-C. Boily, R. G. White, J. D. F. Habbema and R. J. Hayes (2007). "Understanding differences across the contrasting epidemics in East and West Africa: results from a simulation model of the Four Cities Study." STI 83: i5-i16. White, R. G., B. S. Cooper, A. Kedhar, K. K. Orroth, S. Biraro, R. F. Baggaley, J. Whitworth, E. L. Korenromp, A. Ghani, M.-C. Boily and R. J. Hayes (2007). "Quantifying HIV-1 transmission due to contaminated injections." Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 104(23): 9794-9. White, R. G., C. Hall and B. Wolff (2007). "Period and Cohort Dynamics in Fertility Norms at the Onset of the Demographic Transition in Kenya 1978-1998." J Biosoc Sci 39(3): 443-454. White, R. G., E. Vynnycky, J. R. Glynn, A. C. Crampin, A. Jahn, F. Mwaungulu, O. Mwanyongo, H. Jabu, H. Phiri, N. McGrath, B. Zaba and P. E. Fine (2007). "HIV epidemic trend and antiretroviral treatment need in Karonga District, Malawi." Epidemiol Infect 135(6): 922-32. Whitworth, J. A., S. Biraro, L. A. Shafer, L. Morison, M. Quigley, R. G. White, B. Mayanja, A. Ruberantwari and L. Van der Paal (2007). "HIV incidence and recent injections among adults in rural southwestern Uganda." AIDS 21(8): 1056-8. 2006Alexander, N.; Bethony, J.; Corra-Oliveira, R.; Rodrigues, L.C.; Hotez, P.; Brooker, S.; Repeatability of paired counts. Stat Med, 2006; 26(19):3566-77 Sochantha, T.; Hewitt, S.; Nguon, C.; Okell, L.; Alexander, N.; Yeung, S.; Vannara, H.; Rowland, M.; Socheat, D.; Insecticide-treated bednets for the prevention of Plasmodium falciparum malaria in Cambodia: a cluster-randomized trial. Trop Med Int Health, 2006; 11(8):1166-77 Baggaley RF, Boily MC, White RG and Alary M (2006) Risk of HIV-1 transmission for parenteral exposure and blood transfusion - a systematic review and meta-analysis AIDS 20(6): 805-812 Bostoen, K.; Chalabi, Z.; Optimization of household survey sampling without sample frames. Int J Epidemiol, 2006; 35(3):751-5 Brooker, S.; Clements, A.C.; Hotez, P.J.; Hay, S.I.; Tatem, A.J.; Bundy, D.A.; Snow, R.W.; The co-distribution of Plasmodium falciparum and hookworm among African schoolchildren. Malar J, 2006; 5:99 Clements, A. C. A.; Lwambo, N. J. S.; Blair, L.; Nyandindi, U.; Kaatano, G.; Kinung'Hi, S.; Webster, J. P.; Fenwick, A.; Brooker, S. Bayesian spatial analysis and disease mapping: tools to enhance planning and implementation of a schistosomiasis control programme in Tanzania Tropical Medicine & International Health, 2006; 11(4):490-503 Foss, A.M.; Watts, C.H.; Vickerman, P.T.; Heise, L.; Care should be taken when promoting microbicide use among sex workers who are able to use condoms consistently: response to Smith et al. AIDS, 2006; 20(2):303-5 Williams, J.R.; Foss, A.M.; Vickerman, P.; Watts, C.; Ramesh, B.M.; Reza-Paul, S.; Washington, R.G.; Moses, S.; Blanchard, J.; Lowndes, C.M.; Alary, M.; Boily, M.C.; What is the achievable effectiveness of the India AIDS Initiative intervention among female sex workers under target coverage? Model projections from southern India. Sex Transm Infect, 2006; 82(5):372-80 Kuh, D.; Hardy, R.; Butterworth, S.; Okell, L.; Richards, M.; Wadsworth, M.; Cooper, C.; Sayer, A.A.; Developmental origins of midlife physical performance: evidence from a British birth cohort. Am J Epidemiol, 2006; 164(2):110-21 Legood, R.; Gray, A.; Wolstenholme, J.; Moss, S. Lifetime effects, costs, and cost effectiveness of testing for human papillomavirus to manage low grade cytological abnormalities: results of the NHS pilot studies BMJ, 2006; 332(7533):79-85 Sabatelli, L.; Ghani, A.; Hotez, P.; Rodrigues, L.; Brooker, S. Human hookworm vaccine trial: Modeling trial efficacy and health impact American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 2006; 75(5):319-319 Vickerman, P.; Hickman, M.; Rhodes, T.; Watts, C.; Model Projections on the Required Coverage of Syringe Distribution to Prevent HIV Epidemics Among Injecting Drug Users. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr, 2006; 42(3):355-61 Vickerman, P.; Kumaranayake, L.; Balakireva, O.; Guinness, L.; Artyukh, O.; Semikop, T.; Yaremenko, O.; Watts, C.; The Cost-Effectiveness of Expanding Harm Reduction Activities for Injecting Drug Users in Odessa, Ukraine. Sex Transm Dis, 2006; 33(10 Suppl):S89-102 Vickerman, P.; Watts, C.; Delany, S.; Alary, M.; Rees, H.; Heise, L. The importance of context: Model projections on how microbicide impact could be affected by the underlying epidemiologic and behavioral situation in 2 African settings Sexually Transmitted Diseases, 2006; 33(6):397-405 Vickerman, P.; Watts, C.; Peeling, R.W.; Mabey, D.; Alary, M.; Modelling the cost effectiveness of rapid point of care diagnostic tests for the control of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections among female sex workers. Sex Transm Infect, 2006; 82(5):403-12 Aledort J., Ronald A., Rafael M., Girosi F., Vickerman P., et al. (2006) Reducing the burden of sexually transmitted infections in resource-limited settings: the role of improved diagnostics. Nature 444 supplement 1: 59-72 Vickerman P., Peeling R., terries-Prestholt F., Changalucha J., Mabey D., Watson-Jone D., Watts C. (2006) Modelling the cost-effectiveness of introducting rapid syphilis tests into an antenatal screening programme in Mwanza, Tanzania. STI 82 (supp 5): v38-v43 Vickerman, P., Terris-Prestholt, F., Delany, S., Kumaranyake, L., Rees, H., Watts, C. (2006) Are targeted HIV prevention activities still cost-effective in high prevalence settings? Results from an STI treatment intervention for sex workers in Hillbrow, South Africa. STD 33 (10) supplement: S122-S132 Orroth KK, White RG, Korenromp EL, Bakker R, Changalucha J, Habbema J and Hayes RJ (2006) Empirical observations underestimate the proportion of HIV infections attributable to sexually transmitted diseases in the Mwanza and Rakai STD treatment trials: simulation results Sex. Trans. Dis. Sep;33(9):536-44. Hayes RJ and White RG (2006) Amplified HIV Transmission during Early-Stage Infection J Infect Dis 193: 604-5 Hayes RJ and White RG (2006) How Important Are Unsafe Medical Injections in the Spread of HIV in Africa? STD 33(3): 135-136 2005Alexander N, Emerson P. Analysis of incidence rates in cluster-randomized trials of interventions against recurrent infections, with an application to trachoma. Statistics in Medicine. 2005 Aug 24;24(17):2637-47. Earnest A, Chen MI, Ng D, Sin LY (2005) Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore  BMC Health Serv Res. May 11;5(1):36 Escudero IH, Chen MI, Leo YS (2005) Surveillance of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in the post-outbreak period  Singapore Med J. Apr;46(4):165-71 Korenromp EL, White RG, Orroth KK, Bakker R, Kamali A, Serwadda D, Gray RH, Grosskurth H, Habbema JD and Hayes RJ (2005) Determinants of the Impact of Sexually Transmitted Infection Treatment on Prevention of HIV Infection: A Synthesis of Evidence from the Mwanza, Rakai, and Masaka Intervention Trials J Infect Dis 191(Suppl 1): S168-78 Lee VJ, Earnest A, Chen MI, Krishnan B (2005) Predictors of failed attendances in a multi-specialty outpatient centre using electronic databases  BMC Health Services Research 5:51 (6 August) Legood, R.; Gray, A.M.; Mahe, C.; Wolstenholme, J.; Jayant, K.; Nene, B.M.; Shastri, S.S.; Malvi, S.G.; Muwonge, R.; Budukh, A.M.; Sankaranarayanan, R. Screening for cervical cancer in India: How much will it cost? A trial based analysis of the cost per case detected International Journal of Cancer, 2005; 117(6):981-987 Wilkinson, P.; Chalabi, Z.; Raine, R.; Stevens, M. Evaluation of a pilot health forecasting system for England Epidemiology, 2005; 16(5):S93-S93 2004Brooker, S.; Kabatereine, N. B.; Clements, A. C. A.; Stothard, J. R. Schistosomiasis control Lancet, 2004; 363(9409):658-659 Foss, A. M.; Watts, C. H.; Vickerman, P.; Heise, L. Condoms and prevention of HIV - Are essential and effective, but additional methods are also needed British Medical Journal, 2004; 329(7459):185 Goh DL, Lee BW, Chia KS, Heng BH, Chen M, Ma S, Tan CC (2004) Secondary household transmission of SARS, Singapore Emerg Infect Dis Feb;10(2):232-4 Kumaranayake, L.; Vickerman, P.; Walker, D.; Samoshkin, S.; Romantzov, V.; Emelyanova, Z.; Zviagin, V.; Watts, C.; The cost-effectiveness of HIV preventive measures among injecting drug users in Svetlogorsk, Belarus. Addiction, 2004; 99(12):1565-76 White RG, Orroth KK, Korenromp EL, Bakker R, Wambura M, Sewankambo NK, Gray RH, Kamali A, Whitworth JA, Grosskurth H, Habbema JD and Hayes RJ (2004) Can Population Differences Explain the Contrasting Results of the Mwanza, Rakai, and Masaka HIV/Sexually Transmitted Disease Intervention Trials?: A Modeling Study J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 37(4): 1500-1513 2003Foss, A. M.; Vickerman, P. T.; Heise, L.; Watts, C. H. Shifts in condom use following microbicide introduction: should we be concerned? Aids, 2003; 17(8):1227-37 Orroth K, Korenromp E, and White RG(2003) Higher risk behaviour and rates of sexually transmitted diseases in Mwanza compared to Uganda may help explain HIV prevention trial outcomes AIDS 17(18): 2653-2660 Orroth K, Korenromp E, White RG, Changalucha J, De Vlas S, Gray R, Hughes P, Kamali A, Ojwiya A, Serwadda D, Wawer M, Hayes R and Grosskurth H (2003) Comparison of STD Prevalences in the Mwanza, Rakai and Masaka Trial Populations: The Role of Selection Bias and Diagnostic Errors Sex Transm Infect 79(2): 98-105 Tai DY, Lew TW, Loo S, Earnest A, Chen MI; Tan Tock Seng Hospital SARS ICU Group (2003) Clinical features and predictors for mortality in a designated national SARS ICU in Singapore  Ann Acad Med Singapore Sep;32 (5 Suppl):S34-6 Watts, C. H.; Foss, A. Preventing incident infections in long-term partnerships: a role for microbicides [Rapid response] British Medical Journal, 2003; 326(7382):183 White RG (2003) What can we make of an association between human immunodeficiency virus prevalence and population mobility? International Journal of Epidemiology 32: 753-754 Vickerman P., Watts C., Alary M., Mabey D., Peeling R. (2003) Sensitivity requirements for the point of care diagnosis of Chlamydia trachomatis and Neiserria gonorrhoeae in Women. STI 79: 363-368 Vickerman, P., Watts, C. (2003) Injecting drug use and the sexual transmission of HIV: simple model insights. International Journal of Drug Policy 14: 89-93 |
